Thursday, May 21, 2026

bk-20260521

Bankroll Start$136.45

Bankroll End$112.91(-17.3%)

2W5L

Card 5 — strong board with three convergent-signal plays (OAK, MIA, STL). Going against sharps on DET-CLE with small stake. NHL pivot from ML to puck line after 0-4 career. NBA desperation spot.

⭐ GoldOAK @ LAA· 20:38 CT

✅ Win· Good Process

OAK Athleticsbovada +105

Triple convergence: +5¢ CLV (Bovada best price), SP edge Severino 118 vs Soriano 40, plus-money dog. LAA is public team name inflating line.

+5¢ CLV

🥈 SilverATL @ MIA· 17:40 CT

❌ Loss· Good Process Bad Result

MIA Marlinsbovada +119

81% public on ATL — biggest public fade of the day. Alcantara (Cy Young) at home vs Strider 2nd start back. Negative CLV but massive contrarian signal.

-8¢ CLV

🥈 SilverPIT @ STL· 12:15 CT

❌ Loss· Good Process Bad Result

STL Cardinalsbovada +107

Plus-money home dog with SP edge (Dustin May SP 104 vs Ashcraft SP 51). PIT is public side. STL +107 near best market +110.

-3¢ CLV

🥉 BronzeDET @ CLE· 12:10 CT

❌ Loss· Good Process Bad Result

CLE Guardiansbovada -101

+7¢ CLV with better pitcher (Cantillo SP 92 vs Mize SP 47). Going against sharp money (+42pt gap on DET) but betting the number. Reduced stake due to contra-sharp risk.

+7¢ CLV

🥈 SilverMTL @ CAR· 19:10 CT

✅ Win· Good Process

MTL Canadiens +1.5bovada -150

NHL ML dogs 0-4 career — pivoting to puck line. MTL +1.5 gives OT protection. 75% public on CAR. ECF Game 1 Cinderella spot.

-5¢ CLV

🥈 SilverCLE @ NYK· 19:00 CT

❌ Loss· Good Process Bad Result

CLE Cavaliers +6.5bovada -110

ECF Game 2 desperation spot (NYK leads 1-0). NBA reads 2-0 career. +6.5 is a lot for a conference finals game. Don't need CLE to win, just stay within 6.

-6¢ CLV

💡 Tip JarNYM @ WSH· 15:05 CT

❌ Loss· Good Process Bad Result

WSH Nationalsbovada -104

Tip jar play. SP edge Cavalli 108 vs Peterson 83 but Bovada has WSH -104 while Kalshi has +104. 34% rain risk. Public side. Too many conflicts.

-8¢ CLV