Evidence room · updated 2026-08-07

Performance without
the disappearing ink.

Each phase is evaluated on its own rules. Research, paper betting, and any future official record never share a denominator.

Phase 1 ResearchPhase 0 Prototype archive
Active · clean start

Research

Aug 7, 2026 → present
Valid forecasts60
Qualified0
Paper bets0
Settled events0
Brier score
Closing edge
Q
No performance claim yet

Forward forecasts now exist, but Phase 1 remains unqualified until enough valid outcomes and captured closes satisfy the predetermined sample gates.

View gates →
Closed development phase

Phase 0 · Prototype

The inherited multi-sport signal engine. Preserved for comparison, not presented as a verified model record.

Not a verified forward recordEarlier development cards were removed after pipeline faults, so this is not an immutable forward record. Displayed CLV was often a pick-time book comparison rather than a captured closing price.
Graded picks36development sample
Record20–1655.6% hit rate
Reported ROI+26.2%on recorded stake
Reported price edge7.7¢not verified close
Sport concentrationPhase 0 only
MLB31 picks16–15+20.0%
NHL2 picks2–0+92.2%
NBA2 picks1–1-0.9%
UFC1 picks1–0+83.3%
Legacy conviction tiersRetired in Phase 1
gold8 picks5–3+57.1%
silver25 picks15–10+22.6%
tip jar2 picks0–2-100.0%
bronze1 picks0–1-100.0%