Forward shadow · MLB full-game totals

Run environments,
priced in public.

Diamond Weather Total v4 estimates expected combined runs before comparing the distribution with each book’s exact total and price. Weather is used only at known open-air parks; every row remains research-only.

ModelExpected total runs

MarketMedian posted total

PricesExact O/U by book

GateResearch hold

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 2:05 PM CDT

Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees

Chris Sale vs Gerrit Cole · Yankee Stadium

Expected7.90+0.40 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada7.5-125+105

Pinnacle7.5-110-104

DraftKings7.5-114-106

FanDuel7.5-124+102

BetMGM7.5-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 3:11 PM CDT

Athletics at Boston Red Sox

Gage Jump vs Jake Bennett · Fenway Park

Expected8.74-0.26 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada9.5+105-125

Pinnacle———

DraftKings9-122+101

FanDuel9.5+102-124

BetMGM9-120+100

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 3:11 PM CDT

Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins

Walbert Ureña vs Sandy Alcantara · loanDepot park

Expected7.95-0.06 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8.5-105-115

Pinnacle8-112-102

DraftKings8-114-105

FanDuel8-122+100

BetMGM8-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 5:06 PM CDT

Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies

Max Scherzer vs Aaron Nola · Citizens Bank Park

Expected8.97-0.53 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada9.5-110-110

Pinnacle10+100-114

DraftKings9.5-115-104

FanDuel9.5-110-110

BetMGM9.5-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 5:41 PM CDT

New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates

Robert Stock vs Bubba Chandler · PNC Park

Expected9.12+0.62 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8.5-125+105

Pinnacle8.5-114+100

DraftKings8.5-117-103

FanDuel8.5-122+100

BetMGM8.5-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 5:46 PM CDT

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals

Chase Burns vs Andrew Alvarez · Nationals Park

Expected8.88+0.38 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8.5-125+105

Pinnacle8.5-113-101

DraftKings8.5-115-105

FanDuel8.5-124+102

BetMGM8.5-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:10 PM CDT

Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals

Clay Holmes vs Seth Lugo · Kauffman Stadium

Expected9.32-0.18 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada9.5-110-110

Pinnacle———

DraftKings9.5-115-105

FanDuel9.5-110-110

BetMGM9.5-115-105

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:11 PM CDT

Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers

Taj Bradley vs Robert Gasser · American Family Field

Expected8.44+0.44 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8-110-110

Pinnacle8-112-102

DraftKings8-107-113

FanDuel8-110-110

BetMGM8-105-115

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:16 PM CDT

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers

Kyle Bradish vs Jacob deGrom · Globe Life Field

Expected8.83+1.33 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada7.5-115-105

Pinnacle7.5-101-114

DraftKings7.5-110-109

FanDuel7.5-115-105

BetMGM7.5-110-110

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:16 PM CDT

Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox

Gavin Williams vs Anthony Kay · Rate Field

Expected8.49+0.49 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8-110-110

Pinnacle8+100-115

DraftKings8-105-115

FanDuel8-112-108

BetMGM8-102-118

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:16 PM CDT

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals

Kyle Freeland vs Matthew Liberatore · Busch Stadium

Expected8.81-0.18 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada9-105-115

Pinnacle9+104-119

DraftKings9+100-120

FanDuel9-104-118

BetMGM9+100-120

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:16 PM CDT

Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants

Jackson Jobe vs Landen Roupp · Oracle Park

Expected8.88+0.88 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada7.5-125+105

Pinnacle8-110-104

DraftKings8-110-110

FanDuel7.5-124+102

BetMGM8-110-110

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 6:16 PM CDT

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres

Peter Lambert vs Michael King · Petco Park

Expected8.57+0.57 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8.5+105-125

Pinnacle8+100-115

DraftKings8-105-115

FanDuel8.5+102-124

BetMGM8-105-115

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 7:11 PM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Brandon Pfaadt · Chase Field

Expected9.29+0.80 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada8.5-125+105

Pinnacle8.5-118+103

DraftKings8.5-118-102

FanDuel8.5-124+102

BetMGM8.5-118-102

MLB · Total · Aug 8, 8:50 PM CDT

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners

Griffin Jax vs George Kirby · T-Mobile Park

Expected8.07+0.57 vs market

BookTotalOverUnder

Bovada7.5+105-125

Pinnacle7-118+103

DraftKings7-125+104

FanDuel7.5-102-120

BetMGM7-130+105

Run environments,priced in public.

Run environments,
priced in public.